Tuesday, December 27, 2011

Iran: The Undiscussed True Danger

Like you, I have been following the developments in Irans nuclear program with increasing alarm. Even the most "optimistic" (if you can use that word in this context) are that they will have the ability to produce a nuclear bomb within about a year. That idea is enough to scare the hell out of anyone with an IQ over 70, especially if you happen to be living in Isreal. But, what surprises me is the complete lack of discussion regarding the more likely danger in all of this -and a danger that already exists!

I am sure you have heard of "Dirty Bombs". This are made by using a conventional bomb and packing it with radioactive material. The bomb explodes and even though you do not get a nuclear explosion, you spread the radioactive material and create mass casualties and areas so radioactive that you can not go into them, sometimes for many decades. Such a bomb set off in the New York Subway System, for instance, could make the entire system unusable for years. Pretty scary stuff, aint it?

Well, the elephant in the room that nobody is talking about is that the Iranians already have uranium enough to make these kinds of bombs, and I think it is only a matter of time before they use them, either directly or through one of their many surrogates around the world, such as Hezzbolah or Hamas. In fact, I think that is a far more likely senerio than their using an actual nuclear bomb.

So, why hasn't anybody been screaming about that? Well, I don't know, but it could be because the goovernment is hoping nobody has thought about it. If people realized the threat and got good and worked up about it the pressure on governments to act would be unignorable. It could easily be enough to force action -and action seems to be something that our leaders are afraid to take. Let's face it, there are no good alternatives. Any direct action taken against Iran to force an end to their nuclear ambitions is going to result in conflict and is going to get very nasty, very quickly. The choice is between acting now, and risk the consequences, especially to the world economy, or wait until we are forced by circumstances to respond to Iranian agression when they actually use the nuclear material (in either a nuclear bomb or in a dirty bomb) and either directly themselves or through one of the terrorist organizations they control or support.

The clock is ticking. Somebody has to get the debate going and get things moving before we are caught reacting instead of acting -and we will pay a much higher price in blood and money if that happens.

Live Long and Prosper....

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